Saby, Angelsea, Hansen, Matthew, Huynh, Tina and Barry, Jeanne (2024) How is Canada’s energy future projected? A case study for synthesis mapping in net-zero energy modelling. In: Proceedings of Relating Systems Thinking and Design, RSD12, Washington, D.C., USA.

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Abstract

Synthesis mapping is a tool used to visually communicate evidence and expertise of a multi-layered system. It distinguishes itself from other forms of systems mapping with the use of visual metaphors, an iterative approach, and the end goal of enabling stakeholder discourse. The work of Jones et al. (2017) provides an exemplary demonstration of this technique. Energy system modelling, on the other hand, is a largely computational approach. Models typically use depictions that are calculative formulas or workflow diagrams for use by other experts in the field and are often stand-alone. Arguably, energy system modelling itself is a multi-layered system. These layers consider the use of energy across sectors, what energy is available, and impactful trends from other domains of expertise. While not a social system itself, a more common application for synthesis maps, energy system modelling can have some impact on social systems. This is particularly true if used by policy analysts in the shaping of government policies. As Canadians and policymakers increasingly look to modellers for insights on complex questions about energy, energy system modelling is facing new interest in its method from stakeholders who may not be modellers themselves. As such, synthesis mapping presents a unique opportunity to share this knowledge. This paper explores one such opportunity in the communication of the Energy Futures Modeling System. Developed and used by the Canada Energy Regulator to produce yearly energy projections, this energy modelling system is newly pictured in an accessible format on a publicly available website. This paper demonstrates a process for synthesis mapping in this unique context and proposes its application to new contexts.

Item Type:	Conference/Workshop Item (Paper)
Divisions:	Faculty of Design
Date Deposited:	10 Jun 2026 19:12
Last Modified:	10 Jun 2026 19:30
URI:	https://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/5162

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